Prepared for review, not execution - Live market snapshot
DIS Trade Cockpit
This page prepares a reviewable research ticket only. Scores and probability estimates are ranking tools, not profit guarantees.
User guidance
Trade Cockpit Review Order
Read the quality gate, max loss, contract comparison, and invalidation point before preparing a paper ticket.
The selected trade beats alternatives on liquidity, POP, expected value, risk, and signal agreement.
The recommendation depends on stale data, the contract spread is wide, or the bear case invalidates the setup quickly.
Live Market Context
- Ticker
- DIS
- Company
- Walt Disney Company (The) Common Stock
- Price
- $103.91
- Market Cap
- 180.4B
- Average Volume
- 8.8M
- Relative Volume
- 0.63x
- Sector
- Consumer Discretionary
- Beta
- 1.00
- RSI
- 54.9
Paper Ticket Prep
- Recommended Action
- AVOID
- Suggested Position Size
- 1.00%-1.50% account risk
- Entry
- $103.91 to 105.47
- Stop Loss
- $97.68
- Take Profit
- $116.38
- Time Horizon
- 2-12 weeks
Recommendation Output
- Trade Type
- Stock swing trade
- Stock or Options
- stock
- Specific Contract, if options
- N/A
- Expiration
- N/A
- Strike
- N/A
- Premium
- N/A
- Bid/Ask Spread
- N/A
- Open Interest
- N/A
- Volume
- N/A
- Delta
- N/A
- Theta
- N/A
- Implied Volatility
- N/A
- Breakeven
- N/A
- Max Profit
- N/A
- Max Loss
- N/A
- Probability of Profit
- N/A
- Expected Value
- N/A
- Invalidation Point
- Invalidate if DIS loses its moving-average trend, breaks support, or risk score rises above allowed settings.
- Final Recommendation
- Avoid for now; Passed liquidity, risk, probability, strategy-fit, and event-risk gates.
Score Explanation
Opportunity
55.4
Weighted blend of technicals, sentiment, options quality, liquidity, fundamentals, and congress relevance.
Confidence
54.2
Signal agreement, data quality, historical pattern strength, and liquidity quality.
Technical
67.2
Trend, momentum, RSI, relative volume, VWAP, and breakout behavior.
Fundamental
34.0
Quality, growth, valuation, analyst context, and balance of business strength.
Liquidity
72.0
Share volume and option-chain tradability.
Options Quality
0.0
Open interest, volume, spread, delta fit, and IV rank.
Risk
27.0
Displayed here on 0-100 scale; lower is better.
Tail Risk
29.0
Gap risk, volatility, event risk, and ruin avoidance.
Quality Gates
- Passed liquidity, risk, probability, strategy-fit, and event-risk gates.
Options Contract Comparison
No option chain is available for this ticker yet, so this idea is evaluated as a stock trade.
Scenario Analysis
| Move | Stock Price | Stock P/L | Option Est. P/L | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -10% | $93.52 | -$10.39 | N/A | Stress case |
| -5% | $98.71 | -$5.20 | N/A | Stress case |
| 0% | $103.91 | $0.00 | N/A | Base mark |
| +5% | $109.11 | $5.20 | N/A | Upside case |
| +10% | $114.30 | $10.39 | N/A | Upside case |
Alternative Strategies
Stock swing trade
Current pickCleaner risk using shares with stop near $97.68.
Long call
UnavailableNo call contract in the current chain.
Long put
UnavailableNo put contract in the current chain.
Covered call
Needs sharesRequires owning 100 shares and suitable call liquidity.
Cash-secured put
UnavailableNeeds a liquid put chain and cash reserved for assignment.
No trade
Current pickUse when risk, catalyst, or confidence does not justify capital.
Why This Trade
- Technical score is 67.2/100 with up moving-average trend and 0.63x relative volume.
- Sentiment is 0.0 on a -100 to +100 scale.
- Stock setup scored on trend, sentiment, fundamental quality, and liquidity.
- Options quality score is 0.0/100 after liquidity, spread, delta, and IV checks.
- Congress relevance score is 59.1/100; disclosure delay must be reviewed.
Why Not This Trade
- Risk score is 2.7/10 and tail-risk score is 2.9/10.
- Passed liquidity, risk, probability, strategy-fit, and event-risk gates.
- No near earnings date is currently flagged in mock data.
- Positive sentiment may already be priced in.
Bull / Bear / Base
- DIS benefits if trend strength persists, volume confirms, and constructive sentiment attracts follow-through. Congressional relevance adds 59/100 context, not a standalone reason.
- The trade weakens if DIS loses trend support, sentiment deteriorates from 0, or the 2.7/10 risk profile rises due to volatility, events, or liquidity.
- Signals passed V1 quality gates and justify a prepared trade ticket only; user approval remains required.
Catalysts
- Recent congressional disclosure requires freshness review
Sentiment And News
No recent ticker-specific headlines are available from the configured providers.
Congress And Insider Context
Pat Roberts
purchase$1,001 - $15,000 - transaction 2020-11-10 - reported 2020-11-10 - Senate N/A
William Cassidy
sale$1,001 - $15,000 - transaction 2020-08-19 - reported 2020-08-19 - Senate N/A
Jerry Moran,
sale$1,001 - $15,000 - transaction 2020-08-21 - reported 2020-08-21 - Senate N/A
Jerry Moran,
sale$1,001 - $15,000 - transaction 2020-08-21 - reported 2020-08-21 - Senate N/A
Ron L Wyden
purchase$15,001 - $50,000 - transaction 2020-08-04 - reported 2020-08-04 - Senate N/A
Ron L Wyden
purchase$50,001 - $100,000 - transaction 2020-06-24 - reported 2020-06-24 - Senate N/A
Ron L Wyden
purchase$50,001 - $100,000 - transaction 2020-06-12 - reported 2020-06-12 - Senate N/A
Ron L Wyden
purchase$1,001 - $15,000 - transaction 2020-06-12 - reported 2020-06-12 - Senate N/A